Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000617 0.000700 0.000788 0.000888 0.000997 0.001114 0.001248
2026-01-18 0.000482 0.000595 0.000724 0.000879 0.001060 0.001263 0.001508
2026-01-25 0.000416 0.000544 0.000696 0.000887 0.001118 0.001387 0.001720
2026-02-01 0.000362 0.000500 0.000669 0.000888 0.001163 0.001491 0.001911
2026-02-08 0.000308 0.000447 0.000624 0.000861 0.001167 0.001543 0.002034
2026-02-15 0.000266 0.000405 0.000588 0.000840 0.001174 0.001594 0.002155
2026-02-22 0.000237 0.000377 0.000566 0.000835 0.001200 0.001667 0.002303
2026-03-01 0.000214 0.000353 0.000549 0.000833 0.001228 0.001743 0.002454
2026-03-08 0.000190 0.000328 0.000526 0.000822 0.001241 0.001798 0.002580
2026-03-15 0.000169 0.000304 0.000503 0.000809 0.001249 0.001845 0.002694
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000297 0.000505 0.000829 0.001305 0.001958 0.002900
2026-03-29 0.000149 0.000287 0.000501 0.000841 0.001348 0.002054 0.003083
2026-04-05 0.000135 0.000269 0.000485 0.000834 0.001365 0.002114 0.003220
2026-04-12 0.000121 0.000253 0.000468 0.000826 0.001378 0.002169 0.003352
2026-04-19 0.000113 0.000243 0.000463 0.000834 0.001415 0.002259 0.003533
2026-04-26 0.000104 0.000232 0.000453 0.000835 0.001442 0.002333 0.003694
2026-05-03 0.000091 0.000213 0.000429 0.000809 0.001426 0.002345 0.003764
2026-05-10 0.000081 0.000196 0.000408 0.000789 0.001417 0.002365 0.003846
2026-05-17 0.000074 0.000186 0.000397 0.000784 0.001432 0.002422 0.003982
2026-05-24 0.000068 0.000177 0.000388 0.000783 0.001452 0.002485 0.004130
2026-05-31 0.000061 0.000167 0.000375 0.000772 0.001456 0.002525 0.004242
2026-06-07 0.000055 0.000156 0.000361 0.000759 0.001456 0.002556 0.004342
2026-06-14 0.000053 0.000155 0.000365 0.000779 0.001510 0.002676 0.004578